Quiet Solvency

Consumer credit, measured.

Current indicators from Federal Reserve data, calculators for the arithmetic behind lending decisions, and releases straight from the agencies that publish them.

Indicators

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Tools

Debt-to-income

Housing ratio and total debt ratio from gross monthly income.

$
$
$
Front-end
—
housing ÷ income
Back-end
—
all debt ÷ income
Monthly debt
—
housing + other

28% front-end and 36% back-end are long-standing conventional underwriting guidelines. Many programs allow materially higher back-end ratios, and limits vary by product, credit profile, and investor overlay.

Home equity capacity

Available equity at a target combined loan-to-value.

$
$
%
Available
—
at target CLTV
Total equity
—
value − balance
Current LTV
—
balance ÷ value

Available credit is the target CLTV applied to value, less the existing balance. Common CLTV ceilings run 80–90% depending on lender, occupancy, and credit tier.

Loan payment

Amortizing payment, total interest, and the full schedule.

$
%
Payment
—
principal + interest
Total interest
—
over full term
Total paid
—
principal + interest
Data notes

Stock and flow delinquency measure different things

The share of balances 90+ days past due on credit reports rose from 7.6% in Q3 2022 to 12.8% in Q1 2026. Over roughly the same period, the flow rate — balances newly entering serious delinquency each quarter — stayed close to flat, at 6.97% for credit cards in Q2 2026. The first is a standing stock that includes old accounts; the second measures current payment behavior.

Liberty Street Economics, August 2026

Charged-off accounts persist on credit reports

A charge-off leaves the lender's balance sheet but stays on the borrower's file, where a derogatory item can remain seven years from the date of first delinquency. Reporting has also become more persistent: about 40% of charged-off debts were still reported one year later between 2004 and 2012, against roughly 80% by 2024. Around 23 million people carry a charged-off card balance on file.

Liberty Street Economics, August 2026

Equity is at a record and largely unused

Mortgaged homeowners held roughly $17.9 trillion in equity in Q2 2026, averaging about $310,000, with 2.1% of mortgages underwater and an average loan-to-value near 44%. Around $11.5 trillion is tappable. New closed-end seconds and HELOCs totaled $93.7 billion that quarter — up 19.8% from the prior quarter, and still well under 1% of available equity.

Cotality Homeowner Equity Report, Q2 2026

Household debt composition, Q2 2026

Total household debt stood at $18.8 trillion, down 0.1% on the quarter. Mortgages accounted for $13.1 trillion, auto loans $1.71 trillion, credit cards $1.26 trillion, and HELOCs $459 billion. Transition rates into serious delinquency were 1.52% for mortgages, 3.00% for autos, 6.97% for credit cards, and 1.15% for HELOCs.

Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Household Debt and Credit, Q2 2026